Ruminations on the 2008 GOP Nomination

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Posts Tagged ‘Election 2008

Romney in First Place and Out of the Race

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            There will be many blogs and media articles today analyzing the results of the New Hampshire race and its impact on the selection of the eventual nominee.   Whereas McCain and Huckabee are proclaiming victory for their first and third place finishes, the Romney camp is characterized by defeat for his second place finish.  

            It is most definitely another tough loss for Romney.   Pundits are already sounding the death knell for him.   Some are touting the line that his checkbook is the only thing keeping him on life support.   Others have called him “dead man walking.” 

            I find this all curious for a guy who currently stands in first place.   I write this not as a supporter of Romney’s but rather as an observer of the system that we use to select our nominees.

            McCain and Huckabee are the current darlings and beneficiaries of their victories in Iowa and New Hampshire — rightfully so.   But what I think will be missed in all this is the fact that Romney is currently in first place.   If you combine the number of votes received in both Iowa and New Hampshire, Romney has received more votes than any of the other candidates.

Combined IW/NH vote totals based on CNN election center figures:

Romney

104388

29.9%

McCain

103294

29.6%

Huckabee

67197

19.2%

Paul

29806

8.5%

Giuliani

24351

7.0%

Thompson

18753

5.4%

Hunter

1735

0.5%

Romney also has won more delegates than any of the candidates.

Delegate Count according to CNN election center

Romney

30

42.3%

Huckabee

21

29.6%

McCain

10

14.1%

Thompson

6

8.5%

Paul

2

2.8%

Giuliani

1

1.4%

Hunter

1

1.4%

            So we have a situation where the candidate who has received more votes than any other candidate and currently leads in the delegate count is considered out of the race by most of the media and bloggers.

             Mitt, you might win most of the votes, but you will lose the race for the nomination.   You might want to consider giving Gore a call.  He’ll understand.  

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Written by hollywood66

January 9, 2008 at 3:52 pm